0x7a186e844c70495c7543628a8130a256eb90001a
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar31.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration94.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.985 | $2.9k | +$2.5k |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.032 | $146.03 | −$85.77 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.113 | 0.066 | $8.19 | −$5.94 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 05:41 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 09-02 05:40 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.13 |
| 09-02 05:40 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.75 |
| 09-02 05:40 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $8.07 |
| 09-02 05:40 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $8.13 |
| 09-02 05:39 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 09-02 05:39 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $84.00 |
| 09-02 05:39 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.04 |
| 09-02 05:39 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 09-02 05:38 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.80 |
| 09-02 05:38 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 09-02 05:32 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $34.77 |
| 09-02 05:31 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.55 |
| 09-02 05:11 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $231.80 |
| 09-02 05:09 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.113 | $14.12 |