PolyBot

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Traders

stripbear

0x7a0ebd0d919279b2b4469da6f3c425061b67c7a6

Realised P&L
$-287.95
Volume
$39.7k
Markets traded
329
Open portfolio
$50.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded329
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes0.6800.735$36.74+$2.75
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.035$13.65−$5.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$7.60
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$12.00
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$31.20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$3.75
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$30.00
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) · SE Palmeiras0.2400.000$0.00−$14.40
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5) · CA Boca Juniors0.3300.000$0.00−$13.20
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5 · Over0.3000.000$0.00−$4.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2? · Yes0.4570.000$0.00−$13.70
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$14.40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$33.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$37.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 25? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 01:35Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)BUY0.48$30.00
08-13 01:33Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)BUY0.4799999931$25.00
08-09 00:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 9?BUY0.5$10.00
08-08 01:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8?BUY0.4$3.20
08-06 02:51Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?BUY0.34$6.80
07-11 07:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?SELL0.0952$2.86
07-09 21:49France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5SELL0.565$33.90
07-09 19:09France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5BUY0.51$30.60
07-05 23:47Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.3799999973$40.00
07-02 22:29Spread: Croatia (-1.5)BUY0.0525$10.50
07-02 22:27Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.1675$25.13
07-02 02:51Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?BUY0.47$4.70
07-02 02:46Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?BUY0.45$9.00
06-28 17:00South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5BUY0.42$42.00
06-27 23:26Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)BUY0.7$41.99