ticklanxi
0x7a0e544a6dbd9ab18f64d93b26ef75aceefb10c6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.03
- Volume
- $676.11
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $606.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.958 | 0.980 | $298.75 | +$6.58 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.981 | 0.989 | $100.76 | +$0.76 |
| Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · No | 0.893 | 0.942 | $57.19 | +$2.96 |
| Is Earth flat? · No | 0.995 | 0.994 | $49.95 | −$0.05 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · No | 0.985 | 0.990 | $39.60 | +$0.20 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No | 0.680 | 0.815 | $24.45 | +$4.05 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.880 | $20.00 | +$0.00 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.968 | $10.29 | +$0.29 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.966 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? · No | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.68 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 07:29 | Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.053 | $1.03 |
| 09-22 07:22 | Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.065 | $1.95 |
| 09-22 07:08 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $287.40 |
| 08-17 05:14 | Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? | BUY | 0.8969999996 | $50.00 |
| 08-16 08:37 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $20.00 |
| 08-16 08:16 | Is Earth flat? | BUY | 0.9949999856 | $50.00 |
| 08-16 08:14 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-14 05:06 | Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? | BUY | 0.845 | $4.22 |
| 08-13 06:42 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $20.40 |
| 08-13 06:24 | Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 08-10 11:17 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999774 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 08:37 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 08:11 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.954 | $4.77 |