PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

HowBoutNo

0x7a00f619c377852b9d89803c2e2dc6c82fbbf574

Realised P&L
$-285.65
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$97.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu drops out before election? · No0.9700.974$97.40+$0.43
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? · No0.3200.000$0.00−$64.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$75.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No0.2450.000$0.00−$49.00
Will Samsung release a trifold phone by December 31? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$68.00
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13? · No0.4730.000$0.00−$52.00
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$66.00
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? · No0.1480.000$0.00−$16.33
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28? · No0.0420.000$0.00−$8.35
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$71.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 14:16Netanyahu drops out before election?BUY0.9697$96.97
05-13 20:44Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?BUY0.46$18.40
05-13 20:43Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?BUY0.48$33.60
05-04 19:01Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.91$91.00
03-13 20:27Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.971$70.88
03-13 20:24US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.71$71.00
01-14 19:10Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.74$74.00
12-27 10:55Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?BUY0.0417548394$7.92
12-26 19:21Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?BUY0.1484992727$16.33
12-25 20:42Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?BUY0.57$28.50
12-19 13:29Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?BUY0.13$13.00
12-12 11:45Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?BUY0.56$28.00
12-12 10:24Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?BUY0.56$27.06
12-09 18:20Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?BUY0.36$36.00
12-09 17:14Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.19$19.00