HowBoutNo
0x7a00f619c377852b9d89803c2e2dc6c82fbbf574
- Realised P&L
- $-285.65
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $97.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu drops out before election? · No | 0.970 | 0.974 | $97.40 | +$0.43 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No | 0.245 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
| Will Samsung release a trifold phone by December 31? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.00 |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13? · No | 0.473 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.00 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.00 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? · No | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.33 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28? · No | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.35 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.56at 0.656Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
- +$47.00at 0.530US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
- +$26.00at 0.740Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$25.00at 0.800Maduro out in 2025?
- +$21.50at 0.570Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:16 | Netanyahu drops out before election? | BUY | 0.9697 | $96.97 |
| 05-13 20:44 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13? | BUY | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 05-13 20:43 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13? | BUY | 0.48 | $33.60 |
| 05-04 19:01 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 03-13 20:27 | Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.971 | $70.88 |
| 03-13 20:24 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 01-14 19:10 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 12-27 10:55 | Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28? | BUY | 0.0417548394 | $7.92 |
| 12-26 19:21 | Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | BUY | 0.1484992727 | $16.33 |
| 12-25 20:42 | Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 12-19 13:29 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 12-12 11:45 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 12-12 10:24 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.56 | $27.06 |
| 12-09 18:20 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 12-09 17:14 | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |