0x79FEde56BAd6730307684902c5E76be164028BCA-1761845376035
0x79fede56bad6730307684902c5e76be164028bca
- Realised P&L
- $-3.56
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.095 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.095 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.16at 0.860Will $MARU reach $600M in Q1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-23 09:37 | Will $MARU reach $600M in Q1? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 01-23 09:35 | Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 01-23 09:35 | Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 12-10 17:43 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 12-10 17:41 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 12-10 17:41 | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |