xyz202666
0x79fc3abbf483e06339fa601666feb874ba47aecc
- Realised P&L
- $473.69
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $259.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar21.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$296.70at 0.005Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?
- +$157.86at 0.197Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?
- +$21.36at 0.471Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18?
- +$10.28at 0.464Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?
- +$3.16at 0.672Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 10-18 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.022 | $1.37 |
| 10-18 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.9442830976 | $6.64 |
| 10-18 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.3899999928 | $9.19 |
| 10-18 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.345843724 | $4.16 |
| 10-18 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0294117647 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0369710861 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0320388341 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.49 |
| 10-18 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.1796756718 | $2.77 |
| 10-18 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.1499999947 | $1.42 |
| 10-18 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.1193915226 | $1.97 |
| 10-18 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.99 | $197.23 |