popbobdob
0x79f98686ea2a9c2abe129429e08e53aab9cbdd40
- Realised P&L
- $-38.69
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $158.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · No | 0.992 | 0.991 | $54.48 | −$0.08 |
| Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? · No | 0.979 | 0.959 | $52.74 | −$1.10 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.938 | $51.56 | −$1.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.36at 0.940Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
- +$2.30at 0.954Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
- +$1.15at 0.977Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
- +$0.95at 0.980Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
- +$0.71at 0.979Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 11:15 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.9 | $21.00 |