popbobdob
0x79f98686ea2a9c2abe129429e08e53aab9cbdd40
- Realised P&L
- $-23.78
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $180.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.982 | $57.91 | +$1.86 |
| Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? · No | 0.978 | 0.983 | $52.07 | +$0.24 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.977 | $51.75 | +$1.40 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.936 | 0.919 | $18.88 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.56at 0.880Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?
- +$3.36at 0.940Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
- +$2.40at 0.900Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- +$2.30at 0.954Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
- +$1.15at 0.977Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 11:15 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.9 | $21.00 |