mrNobody02
0x79f1c1cb44715b2a4864e1d7d123a1ffe961fe81
- Realised P&L
- $-336.01
- Volume
- $41.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $437.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.045 | $230.18 | +$30.91 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.215 | $121.62 | +$61.62 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.081 | $86.10 | +$25.11 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.28at 0.117Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
- +$0.24at 0.327Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?
- +$-7.87at 0.001Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-9.20at 0.073Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$-32.47at 0.043Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 20:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 20:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $6.00 |
| 10-18 20:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 20? | SELL | 0.018 | $22.43 |
| 10-18 14:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 14:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 20? | BUY | 0.0401201439 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 13:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 13:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18? | SELL | 0.0011582837 | $1.98 |
| 10-17 13:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.0082987552 | $6.00 |
| 10-17 13:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.06 | $50.00 |
| 10-16 19:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.0388390672 | $7.94 |
| 10-16 19:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $8.43 |
| 10-16 19:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.0343560685 | $26.90 |
| 10-16 19:19 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.0573676902 | $30.32 |
| 09-26 10:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0359999999 | $6.59 |
| 09-26 10:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $20.00 |