SSSSSSSKKK
0x79edfc3f9e6f868676b8a99a3c3f4a1b203f0de6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $4.95M
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $601.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $601.50 | −$956.03 |
| Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? · Yes | 0.295 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.1k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.67 |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 5? · Down | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
| Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.306Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$1.2kat 0.005Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$694.78at 0.009Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$423.36at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$379.90at 0.007Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 04:39 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $24.38 |
| 06-15 03:06 | Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | SELL | 0.0020234375 | $5.18 |
| 06-15 03:05 | Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.18 |
| 02-15 05:17 | Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | BUY | 0.2 | $17.52 |
| 02-15 05:16 | Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | BUY | 0.199 | $16.27 |
| 02-10 10:10 | Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $37.50 |
| 02-10 10:10 | Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 02-10 10:10 | Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.24 | $8.39 |
| 02-10 10:10 | Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 02-10 02:09 | Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $18.00 |
| 02-10 02:08 | Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.90 |
| 02-10 02:08 | Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.29 | $17.40 |
| 02-10 02:08 | Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.2890263889 | $20.81 |
| 02-10 02:08 | Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.28 | $9.24 |
| 02-10 02:08 | Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $18.90 |