BigSmoke600
0x79e8ec4c7fecbeb3c7acb1f2bf4b0e886e1eaa83
- Realised P&L
- $-24.41
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $219.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.275 | $192.82 | −$17.53 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $26.45 | −$1.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.09at 0.910Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
- +$-24.32at 0.593Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 10-01 13:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.3 | $210.35 |
| 10-01 13:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.12 | $13.20 |
| 03-01 23:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.54 | $246.57 |
| 03-01 17:47 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.5271165437 | $99.63 |
| 02-28 23:11 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $171.27 |
| 02-28 22:39 | Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.90 |
| 02-28 22:39 | Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |