0x79e23960e6577e9fbe8eeed260e1ccd464db997e
- Realised P&L
- $0.64
- Volume
- $264.35
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $4.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.914 | $2.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.480 | $2.18 | +$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.217Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$4.40at 0.319SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 17:34 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 08:48 | Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 09:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 00:50 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 16:39 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 04:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 12:41 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 09-08 04:01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 17:20 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 08:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 23:39 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 13:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 19:55 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 11:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 03:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |