assterion
0x79e0d4d2c67d7e9e5403d92f079009ef64f2c91c
- Realised P&L
- $-58.11
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $20.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.870 | $4.35 | +$0.10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 7? · No | 0.840 | 0.840 | $4.20 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? · No | 0.810 | 0.815 | $4.08 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4? · No | 0.790 | 0.750 | $3.75 | −$0.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November? · No | 0.770 | 0.725 | $3.63 | −$0.23 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.49 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.25at 0.650Cavaliers vs. Thunder
- +$5.80at 0.694Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
- +$4.79at 0.824Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
- +$4.40at 0.860Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9?
- +$4.00at 0.620Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs HOTU (BO3)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 11-01 01:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-31 21:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 10-30 02:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 10-29 14:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 4? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-29 14:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 4? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-29 13:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 4? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-24 15:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | SELL | 0.4 | $9.60 |
| 10-23 23:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.12 |
| 10-23 23:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.12 |
| 10-22 01:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.82 | $6.56 |
| 10-19 13:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 10-08 16:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.84 |
| 10-08 12:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.32 |
| 10-07 02:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.538 | $4.30 |