opdo
0x79df2548a22d10f2d46d57da680c2a93f99d0bea
- Realised P&L
- $-13.0k
- Volume
- $817.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $319.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.018 | $319.42 | −$1.4k |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? · No | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.00 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$918.75 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? · No | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will Trump resign in 2025? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$699.99 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel · Schimel | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.3kat 0.007Will Trump resign today?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 15:42 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY | 0.0433113259 | $444.00 |
| 06-09 17:02 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.0876 | $219.00 |
| 06-09 17:00 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | BUY | 0.0199985933 | $426.50 |
| 06-09 16:51 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY | 0.051 | $5.35 |
| 06-09 16:51 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | BUY | 0.015 | $6.77 |
| 06-09 16:50 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.086 | $62.72 |
| 06-09 16:40 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.085 | $30.60 |
| 06-03 23:51 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $111.00 |
| 06-03 23:51 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $153.00 |
| 06-03 21:38 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0059999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-03 21:37 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $555.00 |
| 09-17 17:52 | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0247901142 | $800.00 |
| 09-03 23:19 | Will Trump resign in 2025? | BUY | 0.0551754564 | $700.00 |
| 09-03 23:16 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0935715742 | $1.7k |
| 09-02 19:27 | Will Trump resign today? | SELL | 0.001 | $207.90 |