PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

opdo

0x79df2548a22d10f2d46d57da680c2a93f99d0bea

Realised P&L
$-13.0k
Volume
$817.7k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$319.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0930.018$319.42−$1.4k
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? · No0.0480.000$0.00−$2.6k
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No0.0880.000$0.00−$1.1k
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$800.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$918.75
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? · No0.0190.000$0.00−$1.6k
Will Trump resign in 2025? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$699.99
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel · Schimel0.1600.000$0.00−$4.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 15:42SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?BUY0.0433113259$444.00
06-09 17:02SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?BUY0.0876$219.00
06-09 17:00SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?BUY0.0199985933$426.50
06-09 16:51SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?BUY0.051$5.35
06-09 16:51SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?BUY0.015$6.77
06-09 16:50SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?BUY0.086$62.72
06-09 16:40SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?BUY0.085$30.60
06-03 23:51MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.003$111.00
06-03 23:51MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.003$153.00
06-03 21:38MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0059999999$100.00
06-03 21:37MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.009$555.00
09-17 17:52No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.0247901142$800.00
09-03 23:19Will Trump resign in 2025?BUY0.0551754564$700.00
09-03 23:16Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0935715742$1.7k
09-02 19:27Will Trump resign today?SELL0.001$207.90