Babayaga10
0x79d7f1a03a61064b986ea1d257e1ba30f396c3a2
- Realised P&L
- $208.81
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $363.24
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$317.02at 0.317Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?
- +$14.60at 0.791No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?
- +$14.11at 0.550US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$13.00at 0.460Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
- +$12.80at 0.360Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 21:43 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 05-13 21:42 | Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | SELL | 0.0251228123 | $3.34 |
| 05-06 03:10 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 05-06 03:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 05-05 12:09 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 05-05 12:08 | Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026? | BUY | 0.941 | $9.41 |
| 05-05 12:08 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | BUY | 0.83 | $6.64 |
| 05-05 12:06 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.978 | $9.78 |
| 01-28 23:51 | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 01-28 23:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 01-27 13:41 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 01-27 12:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 01-03 12:02 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 01-01 15:46 | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 01-01 15:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $64.00 |