Babayaga10
0x79d7f1a03a61064b986ea1d257e1ba30f396c3a2
- Realised P&L
- $148.68
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $334.67
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$317.02at 0.317Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?
- +$18.74at 0.759Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
- +$14.62at 0.595Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
- +$14.60at 0.791No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?
- +$14.11at 0.550US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:21 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 10-21 16:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 10-20 21:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.783 | $21.92 |
| 10-19 14:08 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.78 |
| 10-18 01:57 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 10-18 01:47 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 10-18 01:45 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-18 01:37 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 10-18 00:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.70 |
| 10-17 23:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.41 | $20.50 |
| 10-17 22:55 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.469 | $9.38 |
| 10-17 22:52 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.977 | $9.77 |
| 10-17 22:51 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 05-13 21:43 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 05-13 21:42 | Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | SELL | 0.0251228123 | $3.34 |