rayanalatif
0x79d0b8003cca9235daababfe7d65b8ca19741085
- Realised P&L
- $58.63
- Volume
- $590.34
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $19.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.510 | $19.38 | +$0.78 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$49.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$1.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.58at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?
- +$3.01at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 2?
- +$1.14at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.79 |
| 08-02 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.36 | $14.40 |
| 07-31 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.55 | $12.03 |