stra-h11
0x79cc177b1f24a76fc620fbc4396bb07e9d614d02
- Realised P&L
- $432.81
- Volume
- $163.3k
- Markets traded
- 4,102
- Open portfolio
- $98.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,102
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No | 0.019 | 0.560 | $50.25 | +$48.55 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.050 | 0.835 | $16.70 | +$15.70 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.050 | 0.633 | $12.66 | +$11.66 |
| GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch · No | 0.050 | 0.885 | $11.73 | +$11.06 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No | 0.196 | 0.870 | $4.80 | +$3.72 |
| GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch · Yes | 0.010 | 0.054 | $1.86 | +$1.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$192.75at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 29?
- +$183.50at 0.021S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?
- +$183.36at 0.021NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 29?
- +$163.69at 0.023Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 27?
- +$99.00at 0.010Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 18:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 06-21 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 06-21 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 06-21 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 06-21 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 06-21 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 06-21 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 06-21 18:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $0.95 |
| 06-21 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 06-21 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 06-21 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 06-21 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 06-21 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 06-21 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 06-21 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |