Makeba30
0x79b972f91c7e0ba7c340a5651585384bb86ab014
- Realised P&L
- $-140.25
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $212.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.195 | $27.08 | +$2.08 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.855 | $26.07 | +$1.07 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.875 | $25.15 | +$0.14 |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.588 | 0.585 | $24.87 | −$0.13 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No | 0.900 | 0.895 | $24.87 | −$0.14 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.576 | 0.570 | $24.76 | −$0.24 |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Pacquiao | 0.510 | 0.505 | $24.75 | −$0.24 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.430 | $24.43 | −$0.57 |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? · No | 0.982 | 0.987 | $10.85 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.55at 0.593UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$7.93at 0.760UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$6.29at 0.799UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims)
- +$5.18at 0.828UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
- +$0.07at 0.924Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:53 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9819999993 | $10.80 |
| 09-20 20:01 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.8999999928 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 20:01 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $21.65 |
| 09-20 17:27 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9236369655 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 17:27 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.89 | $24.72 |
| 09-20 17:26 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.9 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 17:26 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $21.72 |
| 09-20 04:29 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999965 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 03:11 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5755384191 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 03:10 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9209999746 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 03:10 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $33.30 |
| 09-20 00:55 | UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.06 | $2.24 |
| 09-20 00:24 | UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.39 | $12.34 |
| 09-20 00:08 | UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.7899999956 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 00:08 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $24.73 |