0x79b422e5dc2db0dfd78159a75eac8402c91a696f
0x79b422e5dc2db0dfd78159a75eac8402c91a696f
- Realised P&L
- $-0.83
- Volume
- $218.22
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $4.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.855 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.430 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.375 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.95B? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.240 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.35at 0.230Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $187 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 10:03 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:14 | Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.95B? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:50 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:46 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:46 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:47 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:26 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 1? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 20:49 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.25 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:38 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 in September? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 03:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.1679999987 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 10:57 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |