PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

iseeyourfuture

0x79ad7707b2a5bd8f0597c708d161d179c34a0155

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$98.4k
Markets traded
1,106
Open portfolio
$32.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,106
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31? · No0.8900.963$14.45+$1.09
Will Cashmere launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6900.735$11.03+$0.68
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.1B? · Yes0.5000.735$5.76+$1.84
Will Stripe not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4700.175$1.75−$2.95
Bitcoin above 66,800 on June 2, 7PM ET? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin above 77,800 on August 31, 11AM ET? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin above 77,600 on May 26, 11AM ET? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin above 66,400 on June 2, 7PM ET? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin above 67,000 on June 2, 7PM ET? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above $27.5B? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$25.00
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 1? · Down0.6430.000$0.00−$225.60
Bitcoin above 66,600 on June 2, 7PM ET? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$20.00
Will CAVA Q1 same restaurant sales growth be above 8%? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$30.80
Bitcoin above 78,000 on August 31, 11AM ET? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin above 71,200 on June 1, 6PM ET? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 16:44Bitcoin above 84,200 on October 19, 1PM ET?BUY0.999$9.99
10-17 07:39Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.1B?SELL0.77$0.52
10-13 13:23Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.1B?BUY0.5$10.00
10-10 19:36Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 10, 4PM ET?BUY0.999$14.98
10-08 14:36Bitcoin above 84,200 on October 8, 11AM ET?BUY0.999$14.98
10-06 15:50Bitcoin above 84,200 on October 6, 12PM ET?BUY0.999$14.98
10-06 15:50Bitcoin above 88,200 on October 6, 12PM ET?BUY0.999$17.72
10-02 11:24Bitcoin above 88,400 on October 2, 8AM ET?BUY0.999$14.98
10-02 10:59Bitcoin above 86,200 on October 2, 7AM ET?BUY0.999$14.98
10-02 10:38Bitcoin above 84,400 on October 2, 7AM ET?BUY0.999$9.99
10-02 09:37Bitcoin above 84,600 on October 2, 6AM ET?BUY0.999$13.72
10-02 09:37Bitcoin above 84,400 on October 2, 6AM ET?BUY0.999$14.98
10-02 08:59Bitcoin above 86,600 on October 2, 5AM ET?BUY0.999$8.31
10-02 08:52Bitcoin above 87,800 on October 2, 5AM ET?BUY0.999$14.98
10-01 15:50Bitcoin above 85,800 on October 1, 12PM ET?BUY0.999$14.98