fellforitagain
0x79a9d952705dafd7eb4293869e7725f9f1c82b6a
- Realised P&L
- $3.65
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $305.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.978 | 0.980 | $53.87 | +$0.08 |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No | 0.983 | 0.985 | $53.16 | +$0.08 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.961 | 0.953 | $48.61 | −$0.41 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.938 | $47.81 | −$0.94 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.987 | 0.979 | $38.18 | −$0.33 |
| Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · No | 0.983 | 0.833 | $32.63 | −$5.90 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.965 | 0.960 | $19.67 | −$0.11 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No | 0.967 | 0.969 | $11.82 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.76at 0.968Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- +$1.19at 0.978Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
- +$1.12at 0.978Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
- +$1.12at 0.974Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.89at 0.940Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 13:27 | Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9798013853 | $21.41 |