fellforitagain
0x79a9d952705dafd7eb4293869e7725f9f1c82b6a
- Realised P&L
- $13.29
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $229.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.967 | 0.958 | $76.01 | −$0.75 |
| Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.953 | 0.947 | $64.33 | −$0.41 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.978 | 0.976 | $52.68 | −$0.14 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.987 | 0.942 | $36.76 | −$1.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.76at 0.968Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.968Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.19at 0.978Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
- +$1.12at 0.978Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
- +$1.12at 0.974Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 13:27 | Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9798013853 | $21.41 |