tastyfruit
0x79a955bfd17b18f11407fc41d758e6fd460365b8
- Realised P&L
- $-52.76
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $23.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.260 | $10.26 | −$4.74 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.554 | 0.221 | $9.99 | −$15.10 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.055 | $3.24 | −$16.76 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · No | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7? · No | 0.559 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.65at 0.637U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
- +$10.67at 0.571Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
- +$7.12at 0.584Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$5.60at 0.175Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 07:56 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8758663239 | $30.66 |
| 03-14 11:15 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5711472121 | $20.00 |
| 03-14 11:15 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.273 | $15.60 |
| 03-10 11:21 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 03-08 09:38 | U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7? | BUY | 0.7749935417 | $30.00 |
| 03-06 07:42 | U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7? | BUY | 0.5750955815 | $50.00 |
| 03-06 07:39 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999863 | $15.00 |
| 03-06 07:31 | Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.5538238411 | $25.09 |
| 03-06 07:29 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5839999986 | $10.00 |
| 03-06 07:26 | Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7? | BUY | 0.5586034856 | $20.00 |
| 03-06 07:23 | Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.0082421055 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 07:21 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.4219999839 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 19:31 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.174999986 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 19:30 | US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 03-05 19:17 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.3399999912 | $20.00 |