0xOTd
0x79a899a6c52addf90a67092091e24c407355bb66
- Realised P&L
- $-133.92
- Volume
- $1.42M
- Markets traded
- 584
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded584
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.298Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
- +$665.67at 0.610Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
- +$462.40at 0.657Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
- +$423.38at 0.384Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
- +$274.00at 0.001US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 07:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $167.70 |
| 10-15 19:15 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BUY | 0.91739994 | $91.73 |
| 10-15 19:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October? | SELL | 0.973 | $58.38 |
| 10-15 06:23 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6262058177 | $94.07 |
| 10-13 15:40 | Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 10-13 06:30 | Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.73 | $23.36 |
| 10-13 06:30 | Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 10-13 06:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? | SELL | 0.974 | $58.44 |
| 10-13 06:14 | Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.728 | $54.60 |
| 10-12 21:04 | Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.6260313631 | $20.76 |
| 10-12 21:03 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 10-11 15:20 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.9405833333 | $56.43 |
| 10-11 15:17 | Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 10-11 15:16 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31? | BUY | 0.898 | $44.90 |
| 10-10 21:15 | Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.6611012236 | $59.43 |