PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xOTd

0x79a899a6c52addf90a67092091e24c407355bb66

Realised P&L
$-133.92
Volume
$1.42M
Markets traded
584
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded584
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 07:52Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.86$167.70
10-15 19:15Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?BUY0.91739994$91.73
10-15 19:13Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?SELL0.973$58.38
10-15 06:23Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.6262058177$94.07
10-13 15:40Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?BUY0.67$6.70
10-13 06:30Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?BUY0.73$23.36
10-13 06:30Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?BUY0.93$27.90
10-13 06:29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?SELL0.974$58.44
10-13 06:14Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?BUY0.728$54.60
10-12 21:04Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?BUY0.6260313631$20.76
10-12 21:03Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.88$44.00
10-11 15:20Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?BUY0.9405833333$56.43
10-11 15:17Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?BUY0.93$46.50
10-11 15:16Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?BUY0.898$44.90
10-10 21:15Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?BUY0.6611012236$59.43