VFHYM
0x79a4b8bd9135e8080939dd700914c88655593b81
- Realised P&L
- $3.25
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $2.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.004 | $2.83 | −$2.77 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Paxos win the USDH ticker? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.05at 0.620Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.09at 0.550Spain vs. France - Who will advance?
- +$1.49at 0.870Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
- +$1.25at 0.800Ethereum above $3,500 on June 28?
- +$0.88at 0.340Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 13:57 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0068515497 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 13:56 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0069164265 | $2.40 |
| 09-16 13:55 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0069755854 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 13:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 06:41 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | BUY | 0.5899999697 | $7.00 |
| 09-27 05:06 | Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 11:11 | Will Paxos win the USDH ticker? | BUY | 0.0670000051 | $1.00 |
| 02-14 11:31 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.3399999855 | $15.00 |
| 11-05 11:17 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6199999514 | $12.00 |
| 08-29 07:07 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 12:34 | Country gets medal for first time in Paris Olympics? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 12:32 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | SELL | 0.974 | $14.08 |
| 07-31 12:31 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BUY | 0.9749999602 | $14.10 |
| 07-08 09:50 | Spain vs. France - Who will advance? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |