namorapolbot
0x799ffe457e56bb742709ff46d58e01898ffe271c
- Realised P&L
- $-7.20
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $5.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.683 | 0.575 | $2.11 | −$0.40 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.650 | $1.66 | −$0.33 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.125 | $1.31 | −$0.68 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.125 | $0.46 | −$1.54 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.160 | 0.024 | $0.30 | −$1.70 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.004 | $0.08 | −$1.92 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.95at 0.486Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$1.62at 0.482Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$0.97at 0.572Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$0.70at 0.651Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$0.59at 0.608Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 01:32 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $2.75 |
| 10-07 11:26 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 11:15 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $3.03 |
| 10-07 00:23 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 12:24 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 11:49 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.11 |
| 10-06 05:23 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 05:08 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.42 |
| 10-05 19:25 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 17:02 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.39 |
| 10-05 10:28 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.99 |
| 10-05 10:22 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 09:30 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $3.70 |
| 10-05 09:30 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.11 |
| 10-04 18:05 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.00 |