hqcake03
0x799ff2d8b6da8d37b1f88af617ca00a05ca80fc0
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $96.4k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.873Ethereum Up or Down on September 30?
- +$952.21at 0.854Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17?
- +$416.29at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?
- +$376.22at 0.247Ethereum Up or Down on September 7?
- +$350.96at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.998 | $118.36 |
| 10-06 13:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $1000.00 |
| 10-06 13:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $400.00 |
| 10-06 13:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.9499999991 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 13:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $500.00 |
| 10-06 13:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $1000.00 |
| 10-05 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.828 | $98.20 |
| 10-04 13:27 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.9199999998 | $2.0k |
| 10-03 15:18 | Solana Up or Down on October 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 10-02 14:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.9649568696 | $3.0k |
| 10-02 11:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.9415260767 | $2.0k |
| 10-01 15:28 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.8299999957 | $60.00 |
| 10-01 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.5258280784 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 14:57 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7509791152 | $4.0k |
| 09-30 14:51 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.683273224 | $125.04 |