Death17
0x799dbd820658c96fde03251ee154f832f41b6d93
- Realised P&L
- $0.47
- Volume
- $23.72
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $10.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? · No | 0.967 | 0.989 | $2.87 | +$0.06 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No | 0.947 | 0.939 | $2.55 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.940 | 0.961 | $2.27 | +$0.05 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.993 | 0.975 | $2.01 | −$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $1.04 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.21at 0.917Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.08at 0.973Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.04at 0.981Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 6?
- +$0.03at 0.989Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29?
- +$0.03at 0.987Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:24 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.9469999963 | $2.57 |
| 09-16 23:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9969994152 | $1.04 |
| 09-16 23:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9669999911 | $2.81 |
| 09-09 02:32 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9929999981 | $2.05 |
| 09-09 02:31 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9399996528 | $2.22 |
| 09-03 11:26 | Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.914999998 | $2.33 |
| 09-03 11:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.21 |
| 09-03 11:23 | Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9719998809 | $2.84 |
| 08-28 14:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.9859999963 | $2.11 |
| 08-28 14:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.9879999537 | $2.73 |