user098422
0x799b6aa710f1c1af137fdd25cc2834c9f0412102
- Realised P&L
- $-15.2k
- Volume
- $794.3k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.525 | $3.5k | +$165.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.7kat 0.718US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
- +$-87.6kat 0.587Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 16:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.13 |
| 09-13 14:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.2k |
| 09-12 00:07 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.71 | $297.63 |
| 09-11 23:21 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.72 | $26.9k |
| 09-10 12:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.42 | $29.4k |
| 08-28 18:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.6k |
| 08-28 17:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.7k |