user098422
0x799b6aa710f1c1af137fdd25cc2834c9f0412102
- Realised P&L
- $-53.6k
- Volume
- $1.53M
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.435 | $2.9k | −$429.93 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.9kat 0.500Grizzlies vs. Jazz
- +$70.7kat 0.718US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
- +$21.8kat 0.520Eagles vs. Jaguars
- +$-12.8kat 0.581Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe
- +$-87.6kat 0.587Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.376 | $20.16 |
| 10-25 22:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.599660765 | $7.5k |
| 10-25 21:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6546357335 | $5.4k |
| 09-13 16:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.13 |
| 09-13 14:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.2k |
| 09-12 00:07 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.71 | $297.63 |
| 09-11 23:21 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.72 | $26.9k |
| 09-10 12:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.42 | $29.4k |
| 08-28 18:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.6k |
| 08-28 17:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.7k |