0x79932a0f4e7417f451e63fe03c9ecbe317c16467
- Realised P&L
- $-2.98
- Volume
- $116.83
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $3.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.650 | 1.000 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.755 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.740 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.095 | $0.15 | −$0.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.329Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
- +$1.27at 0.440US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$1.25at 0.450SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 14:11 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:00 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:59 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 02:20 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 17:43 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:25 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 14:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 06:25 | Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 18:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 07:18 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 17:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 09:26 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 01:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:25 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 14:23 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |