Larry88
0x79929dfb11820a017fb7a51faf536a55bdbd48bf
- Realised P&L
- $78.0k
- Volume
- $4.47M
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.125 | $2.2k | −$3.5k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.775 | 0.825 | $739.91 | +$44.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.9kat 0.217Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$4.7kat 0.197Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$4.3kat 0.986Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$3.6kat 0.975No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
- +$3.2kat 0.929Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 17:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.955 | $16.71 |
| 10-28 16:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.952 | $22.30 |
| 08-31 10:59 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.998 | $191.22 |
| 08-31 10:58 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.8k |
| 08-17 14:41 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.99 |
| 08-17 13:29 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.983 | $10.32 |
| 08-17 13:28 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.981 | $19.72 |
| 08-16 23:31 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.993 | $10.64 |
| 08-16 23:31 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.993 | $168.68 |
| 08-16 23:20 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.993 | $179.80 |
| 08-16 12:25 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.993 | $99.83 |
| 08-16 11:15 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.25 |
| 08-16 08:37 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.991 | $19.62 |
| 08-16 08:35 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.987 | $44.63 |
| 08-16 08:35 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.988 | $54.24 |