Lawsonzdf
0x798a66216bae45a3b8e3ce39e4b8b13a79edba5f
- Realised P&L
- $-39.12
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $15.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $15.08 | +$0.08 |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.16 |
| Will FC Hermannstadt win on 2026-05-11? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.75 |
| Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.97 |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-09-21? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.75 |
| Stade de Reims vs. FC Annecy: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.25 |
| UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Bruno Lopes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$342.62at 0.500Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$316.45at 0.500Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$131.71at 0.500Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
- +$130.19at 0.500Will Jhonny Fernández win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$127.49at 0.500Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win Wimbledon 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 08:17 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $81.92 |
| 09-21 08:17 | Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-09-21? | BUY | 0.2843082192 | $20.75 |
| 09-21 08:15 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $82.00 |
| 09-16 07:46 | Spread: Bills (-3.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $16.49 |
| 08-24 11:48 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.00 |
| 08-24 11:46 | Stade de Reims vs. FC Annecy: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $10.25 |
| 08-19 06:45 | Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-19? | BUY | 0.67 | $24.79 |
| 08-04 11:19 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.995 | $65.93 |
| 08-04 11:19 | UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.42 | $29.82 |
| 08-04 11:17 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.996 | $66.00 |
| 07-11 02:28 | Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.52 | $20.80 |
| 07-09 11:01 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.972 | $59.93 |
| 07-09 11:01 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.62 | $35.94 |
| 07-09 11:00 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.9729999952 | $60.00 |