0x798a3347B05b59E75D768Ec5A1DaE610B04218ea-1759492821563
0x798a3347b05b59e75d768ec5a1dae610b04218ea
- Realised P&L
- $-321.12
- Volume
- $54.5k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $138.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 25? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $138.21 | +$0.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11PM ET · Down | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$162.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7PM ET · Down | 0.338 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.80 |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Senegal? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.83at 0.850Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9PM ET
- +$9.17at 0.947Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 5?
- +$8.33at 0.960Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 3?
- +$7.20at 0.870Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 6?
- +$7.14at 0.850Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $138.00 |
| 09-21 10:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $138.00 |
| 09-18 23:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9979999935 | $138.00 |
| 09-17 02:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $137.00 |
| 09-14 23:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.9989999937 | $137.00 |
| 09-14 01:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $137.00 |
| 09-11 14:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $137.00 |
| 09-09 00:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on September 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $137.00 |
| 09-07 00:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $137.00 |
| 09-03 12:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $137.00 |
| 08-31 13:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9979999933 | $136.00 |
| 08-27 23:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $136.00 |
| 08-19 16:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.581 | $140.24 |
| 08-19 07:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.986 | $238.00 |
| 08-18 01:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $238.00 |