PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x798a3347B05b59E75D768Ec5A1DaE610B04218ea-1759492821563

0x798a3347b05b59e75d768ec5a1dae610b04218ea

Realised P&L
$-321.12
Volume
$54.5k
Markets traded
214
Open portfolio
$138.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded214
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 25? · No0.9981.000$138.21+$0.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11PM ET · Down0.8100.000$0.00$162.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7PM ET · Down0.3380.000$0.00$104.80
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.90
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$2.50
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Senegal? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 02:32Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 25?BUY0.998$138.00
09-21 10:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22?BUY0.999$138.00
09-18 23:58Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20?BUY0.9979999935$138.00
09-17 02:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?BUY0.998$137.00
09-14 23:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?BUY0.9989999937$137.00
09-14 01:11Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13?BUY0.998$137.00
09-11 14:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 12?BUY0.998$137.00
09-09 00:07Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on September 9?BUY0.999$137.00
09-07 00:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8?BUY0.998$137.00
09-03 12:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 4?BUY0.999$137.00
08-31 13:12Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?BUY0.9979999933$136.00
08-27 23:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 29?BUY0.998$136.00
08-19 16:13Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23?SELL0.581$140.24
08-19 07:06Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23?BUY0.986$238.00
08-18 01:12Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 18?BUY0.999$238.00