0x7986e2ceb13ee7669424c667bb88409b4b4c2c03
- Realised P&L
- $19.47
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $172.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.976 | $172.74 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.29at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?
- +$6.62at 0.960MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$2.30at 0.964Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$1.80at 0.987Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$1.32at 0.990EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 06:23 | APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.981 | $44.05 |
| 05-24 06:22 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $174.08 |
| 05-01 08:22 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.999 | $169.83 |
| 03-31 00:20 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $163.20 |
| 03-31 00:19 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.998 | $164.67 |
| 03-24 10:27 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $163.35 |
| 03-20 04:44 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.987 | $161.87 |
| 03-15 07:09 | Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 03-14 11:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.997 | $69.79 |