PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

DF2D34

0x798500a05f19916625115c87e4a2a5734f69d7ad

Realised P&L
$-76.13
Volume
$29.6k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$9.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0050.001$9.35$90.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-26 01:55Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9849999998$49.39
02-22 13:31Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$46.42
02-22 13:30Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.977$46.07
01-20 03:05Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9829999999$98.63
01-14 03:08Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 12-18?BUY0.998$98.44
01-08 07:58Will XRP dip to $1.40 January 5-11?BUY0.999$62.82
01-08 07:57Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 5-11?BUY0.999$22.00
01-08 07:57Will XRP dip to $1.90 January 5-11?BUY0.886999997$12.00
12-18 01:48Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in December?BUY0.9899525364$18.98
12-18 01:47Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9469999994$40.00
12-18 01:47Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.8471760794$30.00