DF2D34
0x798500a05f19916625115c87e4a2a5734f69d7ad
- Realised P&L
- $-76.13
- Volume
- $29.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $9.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $9.35 | −$90.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.41at 0.847Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$5.16at 0.009Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.24at 0.947Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$1.53at 0.887Will XRP dip to $1.90 January 5-11?
- +$0.20at 0.998Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 12-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-26 01:55 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9849999998 | $49.39 |
| 02-22 13:31 | Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $46.42 |
| 02-22 13:30 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.977 | $46.07 |
| 01-20 03:05 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9829999999 | $98.63 |
| 01-14 03:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 12-18? | BUY | 0.998 | $98.44 |
| 01-08 07:58 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $62.82 |
| 01-08 07:57 | Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.00 |
| 01-08 07:57 | Will XRP dip to $1.90 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.886999997 | $12.00 |
| 12-18 01:48 | Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in December? | BUY | 0.9899525364 | $18.98 |
| 12-18 01:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9469999994 | $40.00 |
| 12-18 01:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.8471760794 | $30.00 |