xoxticnjwgp5
0x79822d286bb33f7f21741f5638cbf7276dac8a4e
- Realised P&L
- $74.69
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $47.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.979 | $18.24 | +$0.35 |
| Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.870 | $15.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.795 | $3.32 | +$1.52 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No | 0.660 | 0.993 | $3.01 | +$1.01 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.555 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Kyriakos Velopoulos be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · No | 0.970 | 0.990 | $2.00 | +$0.04 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.895 | $1.60 | +$0.19 |
| Will Zoe Konstantopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · No | 0.950 | 0.996 | $1.45 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.56at 0.031Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$47.53at 0.239Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$17.15at 0.418Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
- +$16.79at 0.430Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$10.63at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:01 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.03 |
| 09-16 14:54 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.63 |
| 09-03 13:44 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 09:50 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.06 |
| 08-07 20:23 | Will Zoe Konstantopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | SELL | 0.996 | $0.58 |
| 08-07 11:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1239999477 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 16:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.05 |
| 08-05 21:18 | Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.94 |
| 08-05 20:49 | Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 15:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.433 | $2.01 |
| 08-05 14:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4279998956 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 14:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 11:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.31 |
| 08-05 10:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.22 |
| 08-05 10:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.40 |