xoxticnjwgp5
0x79822d286bb33f7f21741f5638cbf7276dac8a4e
- Realised P&L
- $55.62
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $30.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.935 | $17.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.835 | $3.09 | +$1.09 |
| Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.700 | $2.92 | +$1.13 |
| Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · No | 0.989 | 0.977 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Kyriakos Velopoulos be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · No | 0.970 | 0.974 | $1.97 | +$0.01 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.645 | $1.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Zoe Konstantopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · No | 0.950 | 0.979 | $1.41 | +$0.04 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.162 | 0.009 | $0.21 | −$3.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.53at 0.239Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$10.83at 0.298Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
- +$10.44at 0.322Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$9.39at 0.028Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
- +$9.10at 0.510MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 22:54 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.455 | $2.43 |
| 10-29 22:54 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.453 | $0.02 |
| 10-29 22:54 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.433 | $0.27 |
| 10-29 22:54 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.435 | $0.18 |
| 10-29 22:53 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.6209999839 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 22:53 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.625 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 22:08 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.68 | $10.18 |
| 10-29 21:49 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1489999977 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 21:43 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.177999985 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 21:29 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 21:29 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 21:15 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 19:13 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $5.71 |
| 10-29 17:52 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $12.40 |
| 10-09 18:43 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |