alwayswin885
0x797bd0f65ff38c8e17b46a6809d5d3493491225f
- Realised P&L
- $-96.85
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $4.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on September 28? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on September 28? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.90 | −$1.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Down | 0.316 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Down | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Up | 0.408 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Down | 0.234 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.19at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$16.47at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$15.88at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$-4.80at 0.277Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
- +$-12.98at 0.514Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $2.72 |
| 09-28 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $27.49 |
| 09-28 08:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |