0x796A4F37eD1d74faFD71e02ecac7a1954f52e815-1773222741939
0x796a4f37ed1d74fafd71e02ecac7a1954f52e815
- Realised P&L
- $-68.08
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 771
- Open portfolio
- $11.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded771
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.11at 0.203Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?
- +$24.21at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 16?
- +$23.97at 0.040Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$23.81at 0.168Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?
- +$22.94at 0.166Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.37 |
| 10-14 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.5 | $0.56 |
| 10-14 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.497768595 | $0.60 |
| 10-14 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.33 |
| 10-14 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.94 |
| 10-14 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.80 |
| 09-18 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 21:52 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.15375 | $2.46 |
| 09-15 20:47 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.98 |