0x796A4F37eD1d74faFD71e02ecac7a1954f52e815-1773222741939
0x796a4f37ed1d74fafd71e02ecac7a1954f52e815
- Realised P&L
- $-36.72
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Markets traded
- 697
- Open portfolio
- $17.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded697
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.38at 0.194Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?
- +$24.55at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 16?
- +$24.02at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?
- +$23.97at 0.040Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$23.10at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.98 |
| 08-07 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.51 |
| 08-07 10:32 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.18 |
| 08-06 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.72 |
| 08-06 16:23 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.36 | $6.75 |
| 08-06 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 08-05 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.51 | $6.63 |
| 08-01 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.97 |
| 07-31 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.36 | $4.68 |
| 07-31 23:41 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.55 | $14.30 |
| 07-25 10:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 10:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 10:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.71 |