PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7968289892bE00eFae4b24845aF1e6e826c99898-1768450950339

0x7968289892be00efae4b24845af1e6e826c99898

Realised P&L
$-175.20
Volume
$43.9k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$3.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9600.979$1.02+$0.02
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · No0.8100.790$0.98$0.02
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9600.878$0.92$0.08
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8200.250$0.30$0.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.4730.000$0.00$1.17
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET · Down0.2790.000$0.00$8.09
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · No0.9200.000$0.00$170.82
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 27? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 26? · No0.7700.000$0.00$20.00
Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over0.2450.000$0.00$4.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 06:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.21$18.92
09-03 14:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6099999971$54.95
09-01 10:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.42$57.58
08-29 09:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5799999981$79.52
08-29 09:00Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.984$81.54
08-26 12:46Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.8679999926$71.93
08-25 03:13Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.554$74.66
08-21 23:01Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.7259999997$97.85
08-12 13:23Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?BUY0.9199999998$170.82
07-30 07:56Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.86$1.22
07-24 00:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?SELL0.91$182.91
07-17 23:38Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?BUY0.9439999998$157.00
07-17 23:37Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?SELL0.9735900141$103.35
07-11 07:07Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.8$1.05
07-05 20:58Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?BUY0.9419999947$100.00