incline
0x796301e7bb7bb0891993b4b35ca2bdc10fe35c7b
- Realised P&L
- $815.61
- Volume
- $542.7k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $52.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.011 | $52.34 | −$104.60 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.548 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$931.83at 0.230Will The Stokes Twins' next video get between 18-21 million views on week 1?
- +$888.85at 0.865Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$795.27at 0.065Will FAST win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?
- +$765.81at 0.970Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?
- +$729.79at 0.749XRP Up or Down on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-28 18:46 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 01-28 18:43 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 01-28 16:56 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks on January 28? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $20.00 |
| 01-28 16:47 | Will Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28? | BUY | 0.8899999881 | $6.00 |
| 01-28 16:47 | Will Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 01-28 16:46 | Will Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28? | BUY | 0.8441588486 | $20.00 |
| 01-28 16:46 | Will Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28? | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $20.00 |
| 01-28 16:38 | Will Trump say "Trump" 6+ times during remarks on January 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.99 |
| 01-28 16:37 | Will Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28? | SELL | 0.88 | $154.88 |
| 01-28 16:23 | Will Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28? | BUY | 0.88 | $6.20 |
| 01-28 16:23 | Will Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28? | BUY | 0.8799999951 | $100.00 |
| 01-28 16:22 | Will Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28? | BUY | 0.8655737663 | $120.00 |
| 01-28 16:13 | Will Trump say "Trump" 6+ times during remarks on January 28? | BUY | 0.9120802441 | $20.00 |
| 01-28 16:10 | Will Trump say "Trump" 6+ times during remarks on January 28? | BUY | 0.8284038149 | $15.00 |
| 01-25 11:53 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.7392050359 | $464.93 |