0xtraub
0x795817aa6a916a39ccc37d732fd74eb0d390f2ee
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $66.9k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $447.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.011 | $349.78 | −$210.20 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.004 | $97.63 | −$402.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-11.72at 0.005Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$-382.00at 0.189SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 19:39 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.021 | $60.00 |
| 12-21 01:43 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.28 |
| 12-21 01:42 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0179244788 | $500.00 |
| 12-02 04:40 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.0045752476 | $15.00 |
| 11-22 17:20 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0181430972 | $500.00 |
| 03-28 15:05 | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BUY | 0.13 | $182.00 |
| 12-05 16:12 | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BUY | 0.32 | $200.00 |