PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lakatosnapoleon

0x7957c850ca3ae06364dbf88382dc6beb85e8ddbc

Realised P&L
$617.81
Volume
$161.5k
Markets traded
993
Open portfolio
$7.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded993
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fhenix launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.920$202.40+$10.90
Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027? · No0.8700.936$163.86+$11.62
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? · No0.9190.925$138.63+$0.95
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9190.904$135.68−$2.13
Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9520.974$116.93+$2.61
Ethereum tapered issuance burn implemented by December 31, 2027? · No0.7660.795$115.24+$4.24
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9570.952$113.69−$0.61
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9120.939$113.62+$3.23
Beezie FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9100.860$106.64−$6.20
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8550.885$99.12+$3.38
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · No0.8900.945$96.40+$5.55
Will Catena launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8260.855$95.76+$3.26
Linera FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9400.945$92.37+$0.45
Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · No0.9650.905$92.36−$6.07
Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8640.665$91.14−$27.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 20:12Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.46$9.20
10-28 20:09Saturn FDV above $500M one day after launchSELL0.93$1.75
10-28 20:02Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?BUY0.944$8.49
10-27 12:03Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9693214544$1.00
10-27 12:02Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9$5.89
10-27 12:02Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.951$29.48
10-27 12:02Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.887$0.89
10-27 12:00Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.8987156863$45.83
10-27 11:52Will South Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.952$47.59
10-27 11:44Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 30% or more?BUY0.929$20.44
10-27 11:40Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more?BUY0.909$45.45
10-27 11:37Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 12% or more?BUY0.926$46.30
10-27 11:35Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be 4,700,000 or more?BUY0.8983718$44.92
10-27 11:32Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be less than 1,600,000?BUY0.899$44.95
10-27 11:27Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be 490,000 or more?BUY0.928$46.40