0x7949087c455eab2a25d7e813a4bf6c83d3717c5d
0x7949087c455eab2a25d7e813a4bf6c83d3717c5d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.08
- Volume
- $283.72
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $10.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.986 | $2.82 | +$0.93 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.850 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.240 | $2.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.285 | $1.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.475 | $1.32 | −$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$4.60at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$2.21at 0.480Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
- +$1.85at 0.520US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:14 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 23:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 13:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 05:15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 20:21 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 20:09 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 11:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599999651 | $1.89 |
| 09-17 03:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 19:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 11:17 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 03:17 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 19:16 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 11:02 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 02:26 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 14:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |