PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

acasccc

0x7948d84d294bcb75827ada3fdb58be77fc5e90ca

Realised P&L
$-113.85
Volume
$13.5k
Markets traded
230
Open portfolio
$2.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded230
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8700.053$2.56$39.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 03:42Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 30?SELL0.2464271942$34.51
07-29 02:48Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting?SELL0.3095946371$147.79
07-28 17:03Will Trump say "Top Five" or "Top Ten" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.1976118533$47.48
07-28 16:47Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.68$146.57
07-28 16:21Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.68$150.40
06-29 02:18Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?SELL0.3248051448$42.17
06-29 01:12Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 29?SELL0.37$1.63
06-29 01:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 29?SELL0.4$5.20
06-29 01:02Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.23$16.10
06-29 00:30Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 29?SELL0.41$16.17
06-28 16:08Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?SELL0.19$13.25
06-28 12:41Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.47$32.73
06-28 09:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?SELL0.32$36.41
06-28 07:34Will Zeka Win MSI Finals MVPSELL0.14$8.82
06-28 07:33Will Zeka Win MSI Finals MVPSELL0.14$1.42