acasccc
0x7948d84d294bcb75827ada3fdb58be77fc5e90ca
- Realised P&L
- $-113.85
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $2.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.053 | $2.56 | −$39.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.58at 0.732Bucks vs. Pistons
- +$5.14at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7PM ET
- +$5.13at 0.746Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2PM ET
- +$5.00at 0.712Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9AM ET
- +$4.76at 0.740Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-04-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.2464271942 | $34.51 |
| 07-29 02:48 | Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.3095946371 | $147.79 |
| 07-28 17:03 | Will Trump say "Top Five" or "Top Ten" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.1976118533 | $47.48 |
| 07-28 16:47 | Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.68 | $146.57 |
| 07-28 16:21 | Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.68 | $150.40 |
| 06-29 02:18 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.3248051448 | $42.17 |
| 06-29 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.63 |
| 06-29 01:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.20 |
| 06-29 01:02 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $16.10 |
| 06-29 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.41 | $16.17 |
| 06-28 16:08 | Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | SELL | 0.19 | $13.25 |
| 06-28 12:41 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.47 | $32.73 |
| 06-28 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.32 | $36.41 |
| 06-28 07:34 | Will Zeka Win MSI Finals MVP | SELL | 0.14 | $8.82 |
| 06-28 07:33 | Will Zeka Win MSI Finals MVP | SELL | 0.14 | $1.42 |