PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7948ad36caa20ebd8d4b3cc2bd6f4c2836dd1514

Realised P&L
$-16.51
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$48.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 16? · No0.8090.545$11.46$5.54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or below on September 16? · No0.9000.930$5.17+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 15? · Yes0.7821.000$5.12+$1.11
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 16? · No0.7470.765$4.92+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 15? · No0.9301.000$3.87+$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 16? · No0.8330.895$3.22+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 16? · Yes0.9700.994$2.46+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 16? · No0.9880.990$2.40+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 16? · No0.7500.795$2.12+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 16? · Yes0.0760.065$1.71$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 16? · Yes0.3240.200$1.23$0.77
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16? · No0.8400.865$1.03+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16? · Yes0.0190.009$1.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on September 16? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 17? · No0.8200.785$0.96$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 02:27Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 16?BUY0.0761904762$2.00
09-16 02:17Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 16?BUY0.75$1.20
09-16 02:17Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 16?BUY0.7699999807$1.20
09-16 02:15Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 16?BUY0.7599998733$1.20
09-16 02:11Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 16?BUY0.7099999349$1.20
09-16 01:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 16?BUY0.9869999975$1.20
09-16 01:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 16?BUY0.99$1.20
09-16 01:32Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 16?BUY0.98$1.20
09-16 01:25Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 16?BUY0.96$1.20
09-16 01:25Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 16?SELL0.04$0.13
09-16 01:25Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16?BUY0.019$2.00
09-16 01:19Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 16?BUY0.0823371838$2.00
09-16 01:02Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on September 16?BUY0.001$2.00
09-16 00:32Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 16?BUY0.359999928$1.20
09-15 20:05Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 17?BUY0.8199999836$1.00