PolyBot

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Traders

0x7943306d73DA965D7F45cd3663D7b59123A4B918-1767884387608

0x7943306d73da965d7f45cd3663d7b59123a4b918

Realised P&L
$-450.53
Volume
$27.3k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$23.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1360.135$17.27$0.23
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1370.045$3.28$6.72
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1960.043$3.13$11.16
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? · No0.1990.000$0.00$95.00
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.0370.000$0.00$3.98
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$19.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation? · No0.0960.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$9.99
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$20.00
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00$21.00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 17:48Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?BUY0.0195522916$5.00
06-15 17:47Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0791244759$10.00
06-15 17:46Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.1$5.00
06-15 17:45Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0349999935$5.00
06-15 17:43Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
06-15 17:41Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.038$3.36
05-26 14:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.18$39.13
04-24 08:03Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 25?BUY0.077863759$10.83
04-24 08:02Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 25?BUY0.0208863081$9.02
04-24 08:02Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 25?BUY0.009420572$4.50
04-14 14:46Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?BUY0.0410000001$20.00
04-08 18:20US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0477360828$46.77
04-08 18:19US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?BUY0.211559282$70.00
04-08 18:19JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?BUY0.1987447699$95.00
04-08 18:15Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?BUY0.0923470747$20.00