PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x793ca80ac11109d0653dc87a5fa775da773a932b

Realised P&L
$-1.67
Volume
$334.75
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$2.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes0.5100.505$1.98$0.02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.2300.059$0.51$1.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:31Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.5099999516$2.00
09-12 00:12Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
09-08 07:29Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
09-07 23:17Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-07 14:15US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
09-02 13:45Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
09-01 17:11Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY0.6699999196$2.00
09-01 07:20Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-30 23:18Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?BUY0.7399997262$2.00
08-30 14:53Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?BUY0.7$2.00
08-30 06:50Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.459999885$2.00
08-29 22:02Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?BUY0.4$2.00
08-29 13:46Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
08-29 03:05Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?BUY0.299999925$2.00
08-23 15:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.2099999286$2.00