llama1234
0x7932ddbaa8d01a0caf22486a900002a6edbac07a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $374.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.00at 0.200Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$56.37at 0.229Will POPCAT reach $1b first?
- +$32.00at 0.600Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$14.82at 0.850Solana ETF approved in 2024?
- +$13.64at 0.880Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 20:33 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.997999926 | $5.88 |
| 05-25 20:18 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.236453202 | $30.00 |
| 05-25 20:17 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.0583074384 | $30.00 |
| 05-25 20:15 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.2275682047 | $100.00 |
| 05-14 11:07 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.4658816027 | $50.00 |
| 05-14 11:07 | Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.3641209511 | $19.45 |
| 05-14 11:06 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.3699999957 | $50.00 |
| 05-12 10:20 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.2745098021 | $100.00 |
| 05-12 10:19 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | BUY | 0.1357156547 | $100.00 |
| 05-12 10:15 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |
| 05-12 10:13 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.4090352898 | $200.00 |
| 05-12 10:08 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.2786069645 | $200.00 |
| 05-11 20:56 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0572440533 | $8.61 |
| 05-11 20:56 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? | BUY | 0.0251910085 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 20:55 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? | BUY | 0.0052831318 | $2.00 |