PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x792FEe75DaE7eABB51FF29158dd9bB66CC67A740-1757276467805

0x792fee75dae7eabb51ff29158dd9bb66cc67a740

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$268.0k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$30.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16? · Yes0.0960.036$29.00−$48.24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 16? · Yes0.0020.002$1.24−$0.41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$84.23
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$92.14
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 22-28? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$25.52
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 26? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$1.00
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$26.69
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No0.0150.000$0.00−$14.35
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$2.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 15-21? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 13? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$8.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00−$9.46
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 11:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?BUY0.1139999977$1.00
10-16 11:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?BUY0.0915350019$25.00
10-16 11:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?BUY0.0909999999$15.00
10-16 05:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 16?BUY0.002$1.65
10-16 05:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?BUY0.0817401257$17.00
10-15 20:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?BUY0.127625439$19.24
10-15 15:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?BUY0.007826121$2.00
10-15 05:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?BUY0.056862745$25.00
10-14 09:57Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?BUY0.0210514437$9.70
10-14 09:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14?BUY0.0259999999$9.00
10-13 20:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14?BUY0.035$16.65
10-13 20:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14?BUY0.0323130251$15.00
10-13 20:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14?BUY0.002$2.00
10-11 19:35Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?BUY0.0280037283$18.13
10-11 12:10Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?BUY0.0339795304$8.30