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0x792dc8039410ba7666527d2e9e89dadddb101361
- Realised P&L
- $156.09
- Volume
- $129.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,304
- Open portfolio
- $39.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,304
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11AM ET · Up | 0.886 | 1.000 | $28.18 | +$3.20 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 11AM ET · Up | 0.873 | 1.000 | $11.45 | +$1.45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7AM ET · Down | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6PM ET · Down | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 10PM ET · Down | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8AM ET · Up | 0.795 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$298.51at 0.773Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$81.20at 0.925Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$27.55at 0.843Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2PM ET
- +$26.93at 0.829Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3PM ET
- +$26.78at 0.876Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 15:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 12:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $3.27 |
| 09-19 12:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $2.75 |
| 09-19 11:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.949999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 11:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 11:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 7AM ET | SELL | 0.3879051383 | $4.91 |
| 09-19 11:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 10:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 10:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 6AM ET | SELL | 0.4639777247 | $5.83 |
| 09-19 10:34 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 09:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $6.54 |
| 09-19 09:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $5.52 |
| 09-19 09:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999393 | $1.23 |
| 09-19 09:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |