Gandalf707
0x792d3ea6574b8fa844446844c469fe3fb1e2c475
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $203.1k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $319.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.329Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$1.3kat 0.027Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
- +$1.3kat 0.280Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
- +$480.37at 0.464Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$462.37at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 01:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 05-31 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 00:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $88.39 |
| 05-31 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $6.00 |
| 05-31 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999812 | $11.00 |
| 05-31 00:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999928 | $25.00 |
| 05-31 00:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 00:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 02:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $30.00 |
| 05-14 02:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.32 | $8.00 |
| 05-14 02:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 05-14 02:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |