0x792cf343f0125a23ed6411e0b7d9eedea9f03e8e
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 0
- Open portfolio
- $7.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded0
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? · No | 0.800 | 0.998 | $2.63 | +$0.52 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? · Yes | 0.760 | 1.000 | $2.31 | +$0.55 |
| Will "Japan" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.560 | $1.24 | +$0.00 |
| Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.245 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.95at 0.669Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.87at 0.728Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.77at 0.570Will Trump say "Police" or "Firefighter" 5+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?
- +$0.46at 0.738Will Trump say "Autism" during RNC Convention?
- +$-1.81at 0.757Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon?